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Federal funding cuts; attacks on equity, immigrants, the rule of law, and the country's democracy; a new tax bill; and the growing usage of synthetic intelligence are just a few of the factors that have upended the nonprofit world. In the middle of this upheaval, how can funders and their beneficiaries prepare for 2026 and beyond? In this unique package, you'll speak with foundation leaders and major donors about providing patterns in the coming year and efforts to react to Trump administration threats.
You'll discover strong forecasts from leaders and thinkers throughout the sector about what lies ahead, including what the sector will look like five years from now, and how to react to what promises to be another unprecedented year. It's time to shed our fear and acknowledge that those who desire modification will stop working if the people closest to the cash lack the guts to bear the most risk.
Kathleen Enright, president & CEO, Council on Foundations The philanthropic sector must be clear-eyed about the obstacles ahead: the pattern of targeted attacks and federal government overreach designed to suppress our most essential freedoms. John Palfrey, president, MacArthur Structure Nonprofits are addicted to the hamster wheel of fundraising, and in 2026, AI might supersize both the wheel and the dependency.
Michael McAfee, CEO, PolicyLink It's tough to think of passage anytime soon of legislation requiring greater payout rates. Bella DeVaan and Chuck Collins collaborate the Charity Reform Effort, Institute for Policy Researches Communication is no longer background sound. It's a battleground. Matt Watkins, CEO, Watkins Public Affairs Funders will converge around pluralism, not since it's easy however due to the fact that it's essential.
Dimple Abichandani, author of A New Era of Philanthropy. Lighthouse illustration by Greg Mably for The Chronicle of Philanthropy.
Findings from Church Mutual can assist direct nonprofits as they browse 2026 and modifications in generational giving. In December of 2025, the "2026 Charitable Giving in America" survey was conducted by Church Mutual, taking responses from 1,010 adults who contribute economically to nonprofits and other charitable causes. According to a post on the research study from NonProfitPro, Church Mutual suggests several essential trends within the nonprofit fundraising world, consisting of the worrying truth that donors are preparing to scale back their giving in 2026.
The Durability of Warrior photoshoot in Preserving MemoriesWith that, here are five crucial takeaways from the Church Mutual 2026 survey: The Church Mutual survey found holy places continue to take in the lion's share of contributions. All four generations represented (Gen Z, millennials, Gen X, and Child Boomers) contributed mostly to places of praise, constituting 74% of charitable contributions.
Organizations that have spiritual ties should stress this connection to donors, especially if they actively support houses of praise or schools. Another essential finding from the study was that donors tended to make their contributions towards the end of the year (OctoberDecember). Across the four generations, end-of-year contributions comprised the highest percentage, with JanuaryMarch taking 2nd location, followed by AprilJune, then JulySeptember.
Furthermore, out of the 4 generations, Gen Z was most likely to give during the slowest time of the year (JulySeptember). Those who operate in the not-for-profit space should take note of the end-of-year influx in contributions, which shows that OctoberDecember projects such as Giving Tuesday events, matches, and so on, could bring in a fundraising windfall.
That said, "slow-down" durations need to not be disregarded, as the more youthful generations might still be inclined to give even when the older ones are not. The survey includes an area that details "contribution expectations" for 2026, and it is these findings that might sound alarm bells. On the one hand, around half of donors (48%) said they will not make any changes to their financial contributions, with Boomers being the group more than likely to leave their charitable offering the same.
Millennials were determined as the group probably to cut their giving, whereas Gen Z was not only recognized as the group least most likely to cut their providing, however also the group probably to increase their giving in 2026. Church Mutual has a couple of areas devoted to the primary financial issues of donors, something that falls beyond the scope of this short article.
One finding that nonprofits should likewise understand is that a majority of donors have issues about the financial health of the groups they support. Church Mutual discovered that 54% of donors are fretted about the monetary health of the recipients of their donations. By generation, Gen Z was the most concerned, followed by millennials and Gen X respectively, while Boomers were the least concerned.
They should be prepared to deal with more youthful donors' concerns and be proactive in dealing with any issues afflicting the company internally. Doing so could make a distinction in winning over more youthful donors during financially unsure times. While lower monetary contributions may be worrisome for nonprofits, there might be some good news.
When asked if they would increase "effort and time" to assist in other ways must they decrease their monetary contributions, a bulk of donors showed they would; 26% said they were "most likely" and 32% said "somewhat likely," equating to 58% of donors in general. The research study recommends these actions could suggest "strong capacity to convert decreased financial giving into more volunteering, advocacy, or other non-financial assistance." In the face of smaller monetary contributions, nonprofits should lean into other channels to engage their donors.
The Durability of Warrior photoshoot in Preserving MemoriesThere are other findings from Church Mutual that were not covered in this article, such as contribution techniques and the top financial concerns of donors, and so I motivate all those in the not-for-profit area to review the report. The findings from Church Mutual can help guide nonprofits as they browse 2026, especially as Gen Z begins to take on a more prominent function in the giving world.
Subscribe to the Johnson Center's e-mail newsletter! This year marks a turning point for the Johnson Center: the tenth edition of our 11 Patterns in Philanthropy report. What began in 2017 as a modest supplement to our yearly report has become a commonly read and gone over publication, reaching more than 100,000 readers each year.
Normally, these posts explore brand-new shifts or developing movements across the field of philanthropy. For this tenth edition, nevertheless, we have taken a various technique. Instead of recognizing an entirely new set of emerging patterns, we have actually turned our attention backwards to assess the styles that have shaped our sector over the past 10 years, and to name both enduring shifts and brand-new developments.
It is also an acknowledgment of the minute we find ourselves in a minute of active interruption, that combines both fantastic anxiety about where we are headed and fantastic possibility for what might come next. Our future feels more uncertain than ever, but the chance to create and scale life-altering innovations for our communities feels present.
As executive orders, legal contests, and legislative debates play out, we do not have a clear photo of just how much federal financing has been rescinded or kept from nonprofits and neighborhoods. We do not know how many nonprofits have closed or will close their doors, the number of personnel have actually lost their tasks, or how many communities have lost access to important services.
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